The receipts, all of them

The 2025 report card

Every drafted player, graded: where our preseason board had him, where the market drafted him, and where he actually finished. No cherry-picking — the misses are in here too.

Quarterbacks

Closer to the finish: us 37 · market 30 · ties 5

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Lamar JacksonQB1QB2QB2022.116.813Market
Trevor LawrenceQB2QB20QB420.320.017Us
Joe BurrowQB3QB5QB2820.217.38Market
Josh AllenQB4QB1QB120.222.816Market
Baker MayfieldQB5QB7QB1220.116.217Market
Jared GoffQB6QB9QB619.618.117Us
Sam DarnoldQB7QB28QB1319.414.117Us
Jalen HurtsQB8QB4QB519.119.316Market
Jayden DanielsQB9QB3QB3419.116.77Us
Kyler MurrayQB10QB10QB3819.016.25Tie
Bo NixQB11QB8QB918.817.717Market
Daniel JonesQB12QB35QB1718.617.613Us
Brock PurdyQB13QB12QB2318.120.19Us
Caleb WilliamsQB14QB17QB817.818.017Us
Drake MayeQB15QB15QB317.421.017Tie
Patrick MahomesQB16QB6QB1117.019.914Tie
Matthew StaffordQB17QB22QB216.821.217Us
Kirk CousinsQB18QB84QB3516.810.610Us
Aaron RodgersQB19QB26QB1816.414.116Us
Cam WardQB20QB19QB2215.712.017Us
Justin FieldsQB21QB18QB2915.715.19Us
Jordan LoveQB22QB16QB1515.615.515Market
Geno SmithQB23QB29QB2415.211.715Us
Tua TagovailoaQB24QB23QB2515.211.714Us
Justin HerbertQB25QB11QB1014.918.016Market
C.J. StroudQB26QB14QB2114.514.914Us
Dak PrescottQB27QB13QB713.318.117Market
Jaxson DartQB28QB25QB1412.816.914Market
Bryce YoungQB29QB24QB1912.813.816Market
Anthony Richardson Sr.QB30QB30QB7312.60.12Tie
Russell WilsonQB31QB31QB4512.68.06Tie
Jameis WinstonQB32QB75QB4712.511.73Us
Chris OladokunQB34QB37QB5711.94.93Market
Tyler ShoughQB35QB33QB2611.714.311Market
Spencer RattlerQB36QB81QB3611.610.99Us
Dillon GabrielQB37QB85QB4011.36.910Us
Joe FlaccoQB38QB34QB2711.111.613Market
Cooper RushQB39QB67QB6510.90.84Market
Nick MullensQB40QB74QB7610.70.04Market
Shedeur SandersQB42QB27QB3710.210.68Us
Quinn EwersQB44QB77QB509.57.74Us
Jacoby BrissettQB45QB62QB169.416.514Us
Jalen MilroeQB47QB32QB729.20.13Us
Michael Penix Jr.QB50QB21QB338.613.89Market
Kenny PickettQB51QB79QB628.41.66Us
Riley LeonardQB52QB60QB488.16.75Us
Mason RudolphQB55QB80QB567.53.45Us
Aidan O'ConnellQB56QB86QB637.44.81Us
Tanner McKeeQB59QB47QB586.73.44Us
Drew LockQB60QB63QB746.40.02Market
Mac JonesQB61QB68QB306.211.811Us
Gardner Minshew IIQB62QB76QB816.1-0.14Market
Jake BrowningQB63QB71QB445.99.95Us
Joshua DobbsQB64QB66QB685.80.54Market
Jarrett StidhamQB65QB39QB785.8-0.11Us
Jimmy GaroppoloQB66QB59QB825.7-0.33Us
Mitchell TrubiskyQB67QB73QB515.67.34Us
Carson WentzQB68QB53QB395.513.85Market
Andy DaltonQB71QB64QB595.13.44Market
Joe Milton IIIQB72QB69QB604.92.94Market
Tyson BagentQB73QB72QB674.61.32Market
Clayton TuneQB74QB54QB694.61.02Us
Trey LanceQB75QB42QB554.54.44Market
Marcus MariotaQB76QB87QB314.312.910Us
Malik WillisQB77QB83QB434.313.34Us
Tyler HuntleyQB78QB36QB464.07.45Market
Teddy BridgewaterQB80QB58QB663.61.03Market
Davis MillsQB81QB65QB413.511.16Market
Kyle AllenQB82QB56QB803.5-0.22Us
Josh JohnsonQB83QB38QB533.38.83Market
Tyrod TaylorQB84QB82QB422.610.66Market
Brandon AllenQB86QB44QB701.01.71Us

Running backs

Closer to the finish: us 54 · market 59 · ties 2

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Jahmyr GibbsRB1RB3RB321.721.517Market
Bijan RobinsonRB2RB2RB219.421.717Tie
Saquon BarkleyRB3RB1RB1519.413.816Us
Josh JacobsRB4RB8RB1317.515.715Market
Ashton JeantyRB5RB6RB1216.914.117Market
De'Von AchaneRB6RB7RB516.220.316Us
Breece HallRB7RB15RB2115.712.816Market
Christian McCaffreyRB8RB5RB115.124.017Market
Kyren WilliamsRB9RB11RB914.915.417Us
James Cook IIIRB10RB13RB614.517.717Us
Derrick HenryRB11RB4RB714.516.417Market
Jonathan TaylorRB12RB9RB413.820.817Market
Kenneth Walker IIIRB13RB17RB2313.710.917Market
Omarion HamptonRB14RB16RB3413.415.19Market
Chase BrownRB16RB12RB813.316.417Market
Bucky IrvingRB17RB10RB3513.313.410Us
Chuba HubbardRB18RB18RB3813.28.215Tie
Travis Etienne Jr.RB19RB31RB1012.914.417Us
D'Andre SwiftRB20RB24RB1412.214.416Us
Austin EkelerRB21RB40RB9712.07.42Market
Alvin KamaraRB22RB14RB4611.79.411Us
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB23RB30RB2811.610.415Market
Tony PollardRB24RB26RB2211.411.017Us
James ConnerRB25RB19RB8011.310.93Us
TreVeyon HendersonRB26RB20RB2011.112.117Market
Aaron Jones Sr.RB27RB25RB4110.910.012Us
Rachaad WhiteRB28RB49RB3210.68.417Us
J.K. DobbinsRB29RB36RB4310.510.910Market
Jaylen WarrenRB30RB33RB1810.413.216Us
Zach CharbonnetRB31RB37RB2510.111.116Us
Najee HarrisRB32RB44RB9910.03.93Market
Rhamondre StevensonRB33RB42RB2410.012.814Us
Kareem HuntRB34RB54RB299.78.617Us
Rico DowdleRB35RB60RB169.412.917Us
RJ HarveyRB36RB23RB199.312.117Market
Quinshon JudkinsRB37RB29RB279.211.114Market
Braelon AllenRB38RB46RB948.94.34Market
Antonio GibsonRB39RB83RB918.83.85Market
Jaylen WrightRB40RB62RB698.75.59Market
Jerome FordRB41RB48RB718.73.313Market
David MontgomeryRB42RB21RB268.59.517Market
Tyjae SpearsRB43RB51RB448.38.413Us
Tank BigsbyRB44RB43RB688.24.711Us
Javonte WilliamsRB45RB38RB118.115.116Market
Isaiah DavisRB46RB152RB608.04.415Us
Cam SkatteboRB47RB34RB368.016.18Market
Justice HillRB48RB68RB597.87.49Market
Kaleb JohnsonRB49RB27RB1117.80.610Us
Sean TuckerRB50RB109RB497.86.614Us
Blake CorumRB51RB61RB397.77.217Us
Kimani VidalRB52RB148RB427.59.812Us
Devin SingletaryRB53RB81RB457.36.417Us
Michael CarterRB54RB139RB477.27.513Us
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB55RB150RB1177.22.12Market
Isiah PachecoRB56RB22RB567.16.413Us
Bhayshul TutenRB57RB50RB537.16.015Market
Trey BensonRB59RB47RB776.88.84Us
Nick ChubbRB60RB39RB556.75.615Us
Miles SandersRB62RB70RB836.57.24Market
Ronnie RiversRB63RB115RB1166.42.32Market
Craig ReynoldsRB65RB107RB1316.20.41Market
Dylan SampsonRB66RB53RB546.15.815Market
Ameer AbdullahRB68RB143RB765.93.012Us
Jaydon BlueRB69RB45RB925.83.75Us
Ray DavisRB70RB56RB645.74.513Us
Woody MarksRB71RB58RB335.78.716Market
Jaleel McLaughlinRB72RB77RB815.73.98Market
Trevor EtienneRB73RB78RB985.51.78Market
DJ GiddensRB74RB67RB1045.51.95Us
Cam AkersRB75RB141RB1235.51.02Market
Dameon PierceRB79RB131RB1195.31.23Market
Devin NealRB80RB73RB625.06.79Market
Keaton MitchellRB81RB63RB655.04.712Market
Kenneth GainwellRB82RB156RB174.912.917Us
Kendre MillerRB85RB75RB784.94.87Market
Audric EstimeRB86RB80RB704.79.65Market
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB87RB41RB304.78.617Market
Ollie Gordon IIRB88RB52RB674.73.416Market
Julius ChestnutRB89RB99RB1184.60.67Market
Zamir WhiteRB91RB110RB1034.61.95Market
Brian Robinson Jr.RB92RB32RB614.63.916Market
Tahj BrooksRB94RB64RB1104.51.16Us
Sione VakiRB96RB123RB1324.40.41Market
Roschon JohnsonRB98RB69RB1244.40.92Us
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB99RB136RB504.47.712Us
Will ShipleyRB100RB59RB904.41.811Us
Rasheen AliRB101RB138RB864.23.28Us
Raheem MostertRB102RB66RB824.22.412Market
Brashard SmithRB105RB72RB664.13.715Market
Tyler AllgeierRB107RB55RB404.07.117Market
British BrooksRB108RB104RB1083.82.63Us
LeQuint Allen Jr.RB109RB127RB883.81.814Us
DeeJay DallasRB112RB151RB1213.71.12Us
George HolaniRB113RB95RB953.74.24Market
Emanuel WilsonRB115RB146RB513.65.716Us
Kyle MonangaiRB116RB65RB313.48.417Market
Kalel MullingsRB117RB119RB1283.40.23Market
Samaje PerineRB119RB129RB573.35.814Us
Jeremy McNicholsRB120RB112RB583.34.616Market
D'Ernest JohnsonRB121RB97RB1203.30.55Us
Dylan LaubeRB122RB132RB1123.31.44Us
Dare OgunbowaleRB123RB154RB873.22.89Us
Ty JohnsonRB124RB145RB483.15.617Us
Myles GaskinRB126RB89RB1293.00.61Us
Terrell JenningsRB127RB101RB963.03.05Market
Tyler GoodsonRB128RB122RB1132.90.77Market
Chris BrooksRB129RB121RB792.92.314Market
Khalil HerbertRB131RB82RB1092.82.23Us
Emari DemercadoRB132RB147RB632.75.311Us
Hassan HaskinsRB135RB144RB1012.52.05Us
Jordan MasonRB136RB35RB372.57.816Market
Ty ChandlerRB137RB125RB1072.44.42Market
Travis HomerRB142RB103RB1372.2-0.21Us
Phil MafahRB143RB153RB1002.110.91Us
Tyler BadieRB151RB102RB751.42.614Market

Wide receivers

Closer to the finish: us 108 · market 82 · ties 7

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Ja'Marr ChaseWR1WR1WR418.719.716Tie
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR2WR4WR316.819.117Tie
CeeDee LambWR3WR3WR2116.514.314Tie
Puka NacuaWR4WR5WR116.123.516Us
Justin JeffersonWR5WR2WR1915.911.917Us
Malik NabersWR6WR6WR10015.714.34Tie
Travis HunterWR7WR30WR9515.68.97Market
Davante AdamsWR8WR19WR914.816.114Us
Mike EvansWR9WR16WR7614.710.68Market
Tee HigginsWR10WR14WR1614.514.115Market
Nico CollinsWR11WR7WR814.415.215Market
Drake LondonWR12WR9WR2214.216.612Us
Brian Thomas Jr.WR13WR8WR4214.29.914Us
A.J. BrownWR14WR10WR1013.914.815Market
Tyreek HillWR15WR12WR10313.813.44Us
Ladd McConkeyWR16WR11WR2913.611.316Us
Zay FlowersWR17WR25WR713.414.317Us
Jerry JeudyWR18WR33WR5113.37.117Market
Cooper KuppWR19WR38WR5313.27.316Market
Garrett WilsonWR20WR15WR6113.114.57Us
DJ MooreWR21WR22WR3713.19.517Market
Terry McLaurinWR22WR18WR5613.011.410Us
DeVonta SmithWR23WR23WR1813.012.417Tie
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR24WR13WR213.021.217Market
Jordan AddisonWR25WR42WR4512.99.714Market
Courtland SuttonWR26WR21WR1312.812.817Market
Jakobi MeyersWR27WR37WR3112.510.916Us
Tetairoa McMillanWR28WR27WR1712.412.417Market
DK MetcalfWR29WR20WR2612.412.515Us
Josh DownsWR30WR50WR4312.48.516Market
Jameson WilliamsWR31WR28WR1112.313.017Market
Chris Godwin Jr.WR32WR45WR7912.39.29Market
Jauan JenningsWR33WR46WR3312.211.415Us
Calvin RidleyWR34WR32WR11612.16.87Us
George PickensWR35WR26WR511.816.717Market
Keenan AllenWR36WR53WR2711.710.817Us
Michael Pittman Jr.WR37WR47WR2011.711.917Us
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR38WR17WR4911.610.512Us
Darnell MooneyWR39WR55WR8011.55.215Market
Jaylen WaddleWR40WR31WR2311.312.116Market
Xavier WorthyWR41WR24WR5911.27.914Us
Stefon DiggsWR42WR39WR1411.112.717Market
Rashee RiceWR43WR29WR3911.118.38Us
Khalil ShakirWR44WR44WR3510.810.316Tie
Jayden ReedWR45WR49WR11310.78.16Market
Emeka EgbukaWR46WR41WR2410.411.417Market
Matthew GoldenWR48WR40WR9010.05.413Us
Adam ThielenWR49WR59WR1249.62.714Market
Chris OlaveWR51WR34WR69.416.816Market
Rashid ShaheedWR52WR52WR419.38.118Tie
Jayden HigginsWR53WR51WR479.17.617Market
Luther Burden IIIWR54WR57WR488.88.615Us
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR55WR73WR158.613.416Us
Deebo SamuelWR56WR35WR258.511.816Market
Quentin JohnstonWR57WR81WR328.513.313Us
Alec PierceWR58WR83WR288.512.215Us
Rashod BatemanWR59WR60WR1047.84.113Market
Christian KirkWR60WR58WR997.44.812Us
Romeo DoubsWR61WR70WR367.310.116Us
Rome OdunzeWR62WR36WR407.312.212Market
Tre' HarrisWR63WR61WR917.34.615Us
Jack BechWR64WR75WR1197.23.512Market
Ricky PearsallWR65WR43WR687.110.19Us
DeMario DouglasWR66WR71WR657.06.016Us
Tay MartinWR67WR160WR1996.92.22Market
Jalen McMillanWR68WR80WR1386.87.54Market
Xavier LegetteWR69WR63WR726.85.915Us
Kyle WilliamsWR70WR68WR1116.83.813Us
Isaac TeSlaaWR71WR69WR826.75.414Us
Ray-Ray McCloud IIIWR72WR224WR1726.62.85Market
Pat BryantWR73WR79WR846.66.212Market
Keon ColemanWR74WR48WR606.67.913Market
Jalen CokerWR75WR76WR716.58.111Us
Jaylin NoelWR76WR85WR946.54.714Market
DeAndre HopkinsWR77WR74WR926.44.117Us
Devaughn VeleWR78WR175WR886.36.411Us
Savion WilliamsWR79WR231WR1446.22.511Us
Cody WhiteWR80WR170WR1576.26.03Market
Allen LazardWR81WR223WR1496.12.69Us
Christian WatsonWR82WR94WR466.113.210Us
Jalen TolbertWR84WR101WR1185.94.011Market
Noah BrownWR85WR240WR1745.93.34Market
Elic AyomanorWR86WR72WR545.97.316Market
Tai FeltonWR87WR252WR1935.91.44Market
Chimere DikeWR88WR250WR525.87.017Us
Kayshon BoutteWR89WR99WR505.88.914Us
Dontayvion WicksWR90WR92WR835.75.813Us
Dont'e Thornton Jr.WR91WR62WR1425.72.511Us
Arian SmithWR92WR238WR1645.71.312Us
Elijah MooreWR93WR192WR1415.73.29Us
Michael WilsonWR94WR88WR125.713.017Market
Tre TuckerWR95WR202WR385.69.417Us
Marvin Mims Jr.WR96WR56WR705.55.915Market
Darius SlaytonWR97WR90WR635.57.014Market
Calvin Austin IIIWR98WR86WR755.56.214Market
Tyler LockettWR99WR78WR935.43.917Us
Tory HortonWR100WR77WR975.48.67Us
Andrei IosivasWR101WR89WR695.46.015Market
Jaylin LaneWR102WR152WR1215.33.013Us
Jalen RoyalsWR103WR84WR2165.22.41Us
Jordan WatkinsWR104WR227WR1965.22.32Market
Austin TrammellWR105WR179WR1865.11.94Market
Cedric TillmanWR107WR66WR985.05.012Us
Jalen NailorWR108WR186WR625.06.615Us
Tutu AtwellWR109WR95WR1325.03.98Us
Parker WashingtonWR110WR208WR344.911.415Us
Joshua PalmerWR111WR64WR1024.94.612Us
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR112WR139WR1624.92.08Market
Demarcus RobinsonWR114WR210WR1014.74.014Us
Troy FranklinWR115WR93WR304.610.317Market
Hollywood BrownWR116WR67WR444.69.015Market
Sterling ShepardWR117WR121WR784.56.413Us
Brandin CooksWR118WR103WR1064.53.714Market
Kendrick BourneWR119WR206WR674.46.614Us
Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR120WR177WR1514.42.49Market
KaVontae TurpinWR121WR248WR744.45.815Us
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR122WR97WR1354.33.49Us
Dyami BrownWR124WR87WR1084.34.711Us
Gabe DavisWR125WR157WR1334.25.16Us
Jimmy Horn Jr.WR126WR205WR1394.23.010Us
Tim PatrickWR127WR138WR1074.24.013Us
Curtis SamuelWR128WR235WR1544.24.15Us
David MooreWR129WR120WR2114.21.42Us
Olamide ZaccheausWR130WR150WR774.26.114Us
Ryan MillerWR132WR218WR1764.12.94Market
Tyrell ShaversWR134WR122WR1154.14.311Market
Tez JohnsonWR136WR246WR663.95.816Us
Greg DortchWR138WR239WR853.96.212Us
Konata MumpfieldWR139WR146WR1473.92.311Market
Kalif RaymondWR141WR211WR963.85.112Us
Mack HollinsWR142WR191WR553.88.214Us
Josh ReynoldsWR143WR251WR1503.84.65Us
Jahan DotsonWR144WR241WR1103.73.614Us
Dante PettisWR146WR112WR1583.74.44Us
Jordan WhittingtonWR147WR96WR1263.72.813Us
Tyler JohnsonWR148WR244WR1233.64.29Us
Malik WashingtonWR149WR178WR583.66.517Us
Bo MeltonWR155WR176WR1483.33.08Us
Justin WatsonWR156WR161WR1923.33.02Market
Tylan WallaceWR158WR225WR1703.22.46Us
John Metchie IIIWR159WR247WR863.26.012Us
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR160WR189WR1283.24.97Us
JuJu Smith-SchusterWR162WR243WR873.24.516Us
Adonai MitchellWR163WR82WR733.15.516Market
Nikko RemigioWR165WR164WR2003.02.12Us
Van JeffersonWR167WR219WR892.95.014Us
Jonathan MingoWR169WR221WR2052.80.75Market
Zay JonesWR171WR234WR1362.75.06Us
Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR172WR126WR1822.71.66Us
Mason TiptonWR173WR128WR1532.74.25Us
Devontez WalkerWR174WR194WR1252.77.55Us
Derius DavisWR175WR200WR2042.60.75Market
Jalen BrooksWR177WR155WR1852.54.12Us
Britain CoveyWR178WR106WR2012.54.01Us
Isaiah WilliamsWR181WR145WR1172.45.19Market
Luke McCaffreyWR182WR104WR1092.47.27Market
Velus Jones Jr.WR184WR165WR2092.43.21Us
KhaDarel HodgeWR185WR196WR1912.42.03Market
Jake BoboWR186WR229WR2022.42.02Us
Ryan FlournoyWR187WR249WR572.38.813Us
Casey WashingtonWR188WR143WR1652.33.15Market
Xavier HutchinsonWR189WR237WR642.36.116Us
Deven ThompkinsWR190WR151WR1902.33.12Us
Malik HeathWR191WR108WR1692.32.95Us
Treylon BurksWR192WR201WR1402.34.17Us
Anthony GouldWR194WR197WR2132.31.32Market
Tom KennedyWR198WR181WR1872.27.61Market
Bryce OliverWR200WR207WR2182.21.81Market
Robbie ChosenWR202WR116WR1782.13.43Us
Tyquan ThorntonWR203WR230WR812.16.512Us
Jared WayneWR204WR174WR2032.14.01Us
Kameron JohnsonWR205WR98WR1592.15.83Us
Dee EskridgeWR208WR137WR1802.12.05Us
Scotty MillerWR209WR154WR1662.13.05Market
Alex BachmanWR211WR110WR2082.01.13Us
Mecole Hardman Jr.WR212WR172WR2242.00.01Us
Isaiah HodginsWR214WR209WR1432.03.97Market
Jalin HyattWR215WR182WR1832.02.14Market
Xavier SmithWR218WR203WR1141.94.810Market
Ashton DulinWR220WR195WR1551.92.97Market
Skyy MooreWR223WR232WR1681.91.69Us
Xavier WeaverWR224WR147WR1731.92.36Market
Steven SimsWR225WR129WR2231.90.01Us
Braxton BerriosWR226WR199WR1811.94.82Market
Charlie JonesWR228WR180WR2251.90.01Us
Dareke YoungWR230WR183WR1891.82.33Market
Trent SherfieldWR232WR142WR1941.81.34Us
Devin DuvernayWR233WR167WR1951.81.14Market
Ronnie BellWR234WR156WR1791.810.31Market
Ben SkowronekWR235WR134WR1601.82.86Market
Xavier GipsonWR236WR214WR2121.71.32Market
Malachi CorleyWR237WR184WR1291.72.812Market
Brycen TremayneWR241WR198WR1371.63.39Market
Tim JonesWR245WR166WR2141.62.51Us
Jamari ThrashWR246WR236WR1521.52.68Market
Mason KinseyWR247WR133WR1881.53.42Market
James Proche IIWR249WR159WR1751.52.16Market

Tight ends

Closer to the finish: us 63 · market 40 · ties 5

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Trey McBrideTE1TE2TE114.318.617Us
Brock BowersTE2TE1TE1113.714.512Us
George KittleTE3TE3TE1313.414.711Tie
Sam LaPortaTE4TE4TE2712.211.99Tie
Travis KelceTE5TE6TE311.311.117Us
Tucker KraftTE6TE14TE249.514.78Market
Mark AndrewsTE7TE7TE159.58.017Tie
Cade OttonTE8TE27TE229.48.115Market
T.J. HockensonTE9TE5TE269.37.515Us
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE10TE12TE29.312.617Us
David NjokuTE11TE9TE349.07.811Us
Colston LovelandTE12TE11TE129.010.516Us
Dallas GoedertTE13TE17TE79.012.315Us
Tyler WarrenTE14TE10TE48.811.117Market
Zach ErtzTE15TE18TE208.69.713Market
Hunter HenryTE16TE19TE88.610.617Us
Jonnu SmithTE17TE16TE358.55.017Us
Pat FreiermuthTE18TE24TE258.17.715Market
Mike GesickiTE19TE26TE417.95.912Market
Evan EngramTE20TE8TE287.76.516Us
Dalton KincaidTE21TE13TE197.610.612Us
Jake FergusonTE22TE15TE67.511.816Market
Isaiah LikelyTE23TE21TE457.15.511Us
Dalton SchultzTE24TE28TE107.010.217Us
Juwan JohnsonTE25TE33TE96.810.517Us
Tyler HigbeeTE26TE38TE406.77.99Market
Chig OkonkwoTE27TE20TE216.77.317Market
Mason TaylorTE28TE23TE336.66.713Us
Ja'Tavion SandersTE29TE29TE506.14.911Tie
Terrance FergusonTE30TE30TE525.94.711Tie
Will DisslyTE31TE100TE745.62.68Market
Theo JohnsonTE32TE31TE185.58.515Market
Elijah ArroyoTE33TE25TE595.53.112Us
Cole KmetTE34TE35TE365.44.916Market
Harold Fannin Jr.TE35TE32TE55.411.816Market
Noah FantTE36TE39TE375.35.913Us
Brenton StrangeTE37TE22TE235.39.812Market
AJ BarnerTE38TE50TE145.18.517Us
Tyler ConklinTE39TE46TE815.02.56Market
Austin HooperTE40TE116TE484.34.613Us
Noah GrayTE41TE34TE584.33.413Us
Dawson KnoxTE42TE102TE294.36.416Us
Gunnar HelmTE43TE109TE314.25.716Us
Michael MayerTE44TE40TE384.26.312Market
Luke SchoonmakerTE45TE120TE694.11.914Us
Tommy TrembleTE46TE76TE423.64.016Us
Greg DulcichTE48TE112TE433.47.19Us
Tanner HudsonTE49TE130TE553.24.810Us
Cade StoverTE50TE131TE763.23.36Us
Colby ParkinsonTE51TE88TE173.19.414Us
Josh WhyleTE53TE99TE823.12.46Market
Oronde GadsdenTE54TE37TE163.09.015Market
Moliki MatavaoTE55TE93TE1072.93.01Market
Josh OliverTE56TE95TE492.94.612Us
Elijah HigginsTE57TE61TE442.84.115Us
Jeremy RuckertTE58TE125TE562.73.513Us
Julian HillTE59TE57TE662.72.611Us
Mitchell EvansTE60TE127TE542.64.012Us
Jackson HawesTE62TE105TE512.64.113Us
Johnny MundtTE63TE56TE752.61.811Us
Grant CalcaterraTE64TE103TE732.52.88Us
Kylen GransonTE65TE74TE892.52.84Market
Foster MoreauTE66TE94TE842.52.16Market
Darnell WashingtonTE68TE89TE392.44.815Us
Daniel BellingerTE69TE60TE472.44.613Market
Tanner ConnerTE70TE41TE772.32.67Us
Adam TrautmanTE71TE107TE572.34.111Us
Luke MusgraveTE72TE115TE532.33.813Us
Payne DurhamTE74TE81TE1122.30.54Market
Chris ManhertzTE75TE114TE1132.30.92Market
Brock WrightTE76TE96TE602.25.37Us
Mo Alie-CoxTE77TE113TE642.22.811Us
Stone SmarttTE78TE117TE872.24.13Us
Charlie KolarTE79TE106TE612.23.610Us
John BatesTE80TE92TE682.12.710Us
Ben SinnottTE82TE36TE671.93.58Us
Brevyn Spann-FordTE83TE72TE721.82.211Market
Hunter LongTE84TE71TE621.84.67Market
Brenden BatesTE85TE82TE911.72.24Us
Devin CulpTE86TE65TE931.77.61Us
Harrison BryantTE89TE68TE1091.60.74Us
Quintin MorrisTE91TE42TE781.63.55Us
Drew OgletreeTE92TE67TE861.62.55Us
Luke FarrellTE93TE75TE651.53.39Market
Drew SampleTE94TE77TE631.52.911Market
Brayden WillisTE98TE124TE1231.50.01Market
Tip ReimanTE99TE48TE1001.51.63Us
Pharaoh BrownTE101TE122TE1111.52.11Us
Ross DwelleyTE103TE85TE1081.40.93Us
Josiah DeguaraTE104TE128TE881.42.84Us
Lucas KrullTE105TE98TE1041.41.23Us
Nate AdkinsTE108TE83TE791.32.47Market
Will MalloryTE109TE54TE1101.32.61Us
Davis AllenTE114TE111TE461.23.716Market
Blake WhiteheartTE115TE91TE1201.20.26Us
Charlie WoernerTE116TE73TE851.22.16Market
David Martin-RobinsonTE119TE79TE901.02.54Market
Durham SmytheTE120TE69TE961.01.64Us
Jack StollTE121TE59TE800.92.47Market
Eric SaubertTE123TE63TE950.91.45Us
Ian ThomasTE124TE51TE710.93.57Market
Jared WileyTE125TE129TE1150.91.41Us
Cam GrandyTE126TE52TE1190.90.62Us
Feleipe FranksTE128TE119TE1210.70.22Market
Shane ZylstraTE129TE108TE990.65.01Market
Tucker FiskTE130TE84TE1010.51.04Market
John FitzPatrickTE131TE43TE700.42.311Market
Ben SimsTE132TE80TE970.42.03Market

Kickers

Closer to the finish: us 21 · market 15 · ties 3

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Chase McLaughlinK1K7K79.79.217Market
Ka'imi FairbairnK2K13K29.612.915Us
Jake ElliottK3K6K229.56.917Market
Jake BatesK6K2K89.39.117Us
Harrison ButkerK8K8K99.39.017Tie
Brandon McManusK9K49K249.28.114Us
Eddy PineiroK10K21K139.210.314Us
Will ReichardK11K17K69.210.116Us
Wil LutzK13K14K169.17.917Market
Evan McPhersonK14K12K149.18.816Us
Cameron DickerK15K3K49.010.217Market
Chris BoswellK16K4K108.98.917Tie
Chad RylandK18K32K198.87.617Us
Riley PattersonK19K27K178.78.316Us
Younghoe KooK20K10K388.75.86Us
Joshua KartyK21K46K338.77.68Us
Matt GayK22K29K298.77.612Market
Brandon AubreyK23K1K38.711.117Market
Blake GrupeK24K37K208.68.116Us
Jake MoodyK25K16K308.610.28Us
Daniel CarlsonK26K15K278.56.915Us
Cam LittleK27K5K58.49.717Market
Tyler LoopK28K11K128.38.617Market
Zane GonzalezK29K34K288.210.89Us
Joey SlyeK30K33K158.28.616Us
Jason MyersK31K45K18.212.117Us
Cairo SantosK32K48K188.19.414Us
Nick FolkK34K36K218.08.016Us
Spencer ShraderK36K42K357.811.45Us
Matt PraterK38K20K267.77.515Market
Charlie SmythK39K44K347.510.06Us
Harrison MevisK40K24K317.59.19Market
Ryan FitzgeraldK41K40K237.36.817Market
Ben SaulsK42K38K397.210.73Market
Andy BorregalesK43K25K117.28.917Market
Andre SzmytK44K22K257.07.116Market
Parker RomoK45K30K366.87.07Market
Graham GanoK47K47K375.47.85Tie
Matthew WrightK49K28K415.15.54Us

Team defenses

Closer to the finish: us 16 · market 13 · ties 3

PlayerWe saidMarket saidFinishedProj ppgActual ppgGPCloser
Detroit LionsDST1DST6DST186.84.917Market
Minnesota VikingsDST2DST7DST56.77.117Market
Buffalo BillsDST3DST5DST176.25.117Market
Philadelphia EaglesDST4DST1DST86.16.817Us
Pittsburgh SteelersDST5DST4DST75.96.917Us
Kansas City ChiefsDST6DST10DST195.74.617Market
Los Angeles ChargersDST7DST21DST125.75.917Us
Chicago BearsDST8DST31DST95.66.717Us
Dallas CowboysDST9DST17DST305.53.217Market
Houston TexansDST10DST8DST15.57.617Market
Baltimore RavensDST11DST2DST225.54.117Us
Denver BroncosDST12DST3DST25.57.517Market
New York JetsDST13DST19DST325.50.917Market
Los Angeles RamsDST14DST16DST35.57.417Us
Green Bay PackersDST15DST9DST285.53.617Us
Atlanta FalconsDST16DST28DST115.56.117Us
San Francisco 49ersDST17DST11DST315.52.917Us
New England PatriotsDST18DST15DST135.55.617Market
Tampa Bay BuccaneersDST19DST20DST165.55.417Us
Cincinnati BengalsDST20DST29DST275.43.617Market
New Orleans SaintsDST21DST25DST145.45.517Us
Las Vegas RaidersDST22DST24DST235.43.817Tie
Washington CommandersDST23DST12DST245.43.817Us
Indianapolis ColtsDST24DST26DST155.35.417Us
Seattle SeahawksDST25DST14DST45.37.217Market
Miami DolphinsDST26DST23DST215.24.417Market
Arizona CardinalsDST27DST13DST265.23.717Us
Jacksonville JaguarsDST28DST27DST65.27.117Market
New York GiantsDST29DST18DST255.13.817Us
Carolina PanthersDST30DST30DST205.04.517Tie
Tennessee TitansDST31DST22DST295.03.317Us
Cleveland BrownsDST32DST32DST104.96.417Tie
How this is graded. Numbers above are from projections our models would have published before the 2025 season — trained only on data through 2024, no hindsight. “Market” is preseason consensus draft position. Finishes are 2025 regular-season totals, PPR scoring (4-pt passing TD). Kickers and team defenses are graded the same way as every other position. Players without a preseason draft-position consensus (undrafted in typical leagues) aren’t graded. “Closer” compares each board’s rank distance to the player’s final finish. Projections don’t predict injuries — a low GP (amber) usually explains a big miss on both boards. The front page’s boldest-calls stat covers the 267 players where the two boards disagreed by 15+ spots; in that subset the finish landed closer to our rank 159 times, the market’s 108. Its “299 to 239” tally is the sum of every position tab’s “closer to the finish” counts above — all six, kickers and defenses included.